枇杷沟泥石流基本特征分析与评价

以枇杷沟地区地质环境为基础,综合多因素分析阐明：枇杷沟泥石流的发生除受地形地貌等因素的影响外,地震过程中受损岩土体为泥石流的发生提供了大量物源,但主控因素为降雨量及降雨强度。在进行大量野外地质工作的基础上,运用数学手段对枇杷沟泥石流特征值进行计算和确定并最终分析表明：地震地质作用与外动力地质作用所形成的崩滑物在粒度和分选上有所区别,对泥石流的容重和流量有所影响;震后灾区泥石流对泥石流沟道有着明显的拓宽效应和“刮铲效应”,使泥石流过水断面面积和泥石流平均流速发生显著变化,所以在确定新的参数并得到新的流量值后有必要使用行之有效的计算方法对计算结果进行验证。     

镍基单晶高温合金蠕变机制研究进展

 叶片在服役过程中主要承受〈001〉轴向的离心载荷，由离心应力导致的蠕变损伤是叶片的主要失效机制之一。基于单晶叶片的典型服役条件，总结了国内外关于高温低应力和中温高应力蠕变变形损伤机制的研究现状，指出深入开展含典型缺陷单晶高温合金蠕变行为、氧化和热腐蚀对单晶合金蠕变-疲劳变形损伤机制影响研究十分必要。     

车载网中一种基于时隙的优先转发紧急警示消息方案

本文提出了一种基于时隙的优先转发紧急警示消息（time-slotted-based forwarding priority-emergency warning messa-ges，TSPEW）方案，极大地提高了 EMW 消息的传输效率。仅允许“段长”车辆转发 EMW 消息，抑制广播风暴。为了避免来自安全消息的干扰，采用优先时隙转发 EMW 消息策略，通过发送 CLEAR 消息预留转发 EMW 消息的时隙。基于 CLEAR 的预留机制优先转发 EMW 消息，只有无 EMW 消息时，才传输安全消息。仿真结果表明，所提出的 TSPEW 方案能够及时、有效地传输 EMW 消息，并维持高的数据包接收率和低的端到端传输时延。     

基于多元统计分析的故障检测方法

作为数据驱动故障检测方法中的重要分支,基于多元统计分析的故障检测方法主要包括主元分析、偏最小二乘、独立元素分析和费舍尔判别分析.本文回顾了上述几种方法,包括数据模型、故障检测的原理及方法优劣.仿真实验说明了几种方法的特性及其故障检测的效果,并探讨了基于数据故障检测方法中的一些问题.     

The Differentiated Effect of Administrative Policy in China's Housing Market——Based on the Heterogeneous Households Multi-Agent Model

Since 2010, Chinese government has introduced a series of administrative policies to limit speculation in the housing market to stabilize price fluctuations and keep the housing market in a healthy state of development. In order to investigate whether administrative policy can play its due role, this paper constructs a comprehensive bottom-up housing market heterogeneous households multiagent model(HHMAM) to undertake research on the differentiated effect of administrative policy in different cities. The empirical studies find that: 1) Administrative policy that increases interest rates will cause housing prices to continue to decline in the long term, but they will resume a rising trend after reaching the lowest point; 2) If the government cancels a property-purchasing limitation, housing prices will continue to rise; and 3) investors tend to invest in 1~(st)-tier cities due to the high demand and greater likelihood of appreciation in these cities.     

Leaching behavior of V,Pb,Cd,Cr,and As from stone coal waste rock with different particle sizes

This paper investigates the leaching behavior of heavy metals(V,Pb,Cd,Cr,and As) from stone coal waste rocks with various particle sizes using dynamic leaching experiments.The results show that the dissolved concentrations of V and As initially increased and then slightly decreased as time progressed and that the dissolved concentrations of Pb,Cd,and Cr were high in the early stage before decreasing.The particle size of the stone coal waste rocks strongly influenced the heavy metal concentration in the leaching solutions.The effects of the particle size of the stone coal waste rocks on the dissolved concentrations of V,Pb,and As decreased in the order fine fraction medium fraction coarse fraction,and the effects of particle size on the dissolved concentrations of Cr and Cd decreased in the order medium fraction coarse fraction fine fraction and coarse fraction medium fraction fine fraction,respectively.The quantities of heavy metals dissolved from the stone coal waste rock with fine particle sizes were observed to decrease in the order V(17104.36 μg/kg) As(609.41 μg/kg) Pb(469.24 μg/kg) Cr(56.35 μg/kg) Cd(27.52 μg/kg),and the dissolution rates decreased in the order As(2.96%) Pb(0.93%) V(0.35%) Cd(0.25%) Cr(0.01%).The specific surface area,pore size of the stone coal waste rocks,and chemical forms of heavy metals also influenced the release of heavy metals from the stone coal waste rocks.Kinetic analysis showed that the dissolution of heavy metals fundamentally agreed with the rate equation controlled by the shrinking core model.The results of this study are expected to serve as a reference for the evaluation of heavy metals contamination from stone coal waste rocks.     

长期权力感知对谈判结果的影响研究

为了探究个人长期权力感知对谈判结果的影响及作用机制,丰富和创新现有的谈判理论,针对实验被试者设计并实施了一次多事项模拟谈判实验;以实验测量所得的长期权力感知、首次报价、调节作用分别作为自变量、中介变量以及调节变量,探究长期权力感知对谈判结果的影响、首次报价所起到的中介作用以及调节定向的调节作用;结果显示长期权力感知与谈判收益之间具有正向相关关系,首次报价在过程中起到中介作用,但是调节定向的调节作用在其中却并不显著;基于以上研究,长期权力感知更强的谈判者会提出更高的首次报价,从而获取更好的谈判收益,调节定向的调节作用在以后的研究中有待进一步探究。     

A Hyper-Erlang Jump-Diffusion Process and Applications in Finance

This paper studies the first passage time problem for a reflected two-sided jump-diffusion risk model with the jumps having a hyper-Erlang distribution. The authors give the explicit closed-form expression for the joint Laplace transform of the first passage time and the overshoot for the reflected process. Finally, the formula is applied to the ruin problem under the barrier dividend strategy and the pricing of the Russian option.     

A two-dimensional improvement for Farr-Gao algorithm

Farr-Gao algorithm is a state-of-the-art algorithm for reduced Gröbner bases of vanishing ideals of finite points, which has been implemented in Maple as a build-in command. This paper presents a two-dimensional improvement for it that employs a preprocessing strategy for computing reduced Gröbner bases associated with tower subsets of given point sets. Experimental results show that the preprocessed Farr-Gao algorithm is more efficient than the classical one.     

Secure pairing with wearable devices by using ambient sound and light

Wearable devices usually work together with smart phones. To ensure only legitimate smart phones can read the data, they must conduct pairing to establish a shared key. Traditional pairing methods require that the pairing devices have a keyboard or screen for user interaction. However, due to the size limitation, keyboards or screens are hard to be installed in the wearable devices. To solve this problem, we propose a novel pairing method by using ambient sound and light. In this new scheme, any pairing request from smart phone will trigger wearable device vibration. Only after users press the confirm key on the device can the pairing process continues. Then pairing devices collect ambient sound and light at the predetermined time and establish a shared key by using the Diffie-Hellman protocol. To protect against potential man-in-the-middle attacks in the key establishment process, an improved interlock protocol with sound and light comparison is conducted to authenticate the key. If both the sound and light collected by the pairing devices are similar enough, the key is accepted. Otherwise, it is rejected. Compared with current context based pairing methods, our scheme does not impose strict synchronization on devices to collect ambient context data. Moreover, our scheme need not collect and exchange contextual information for multiple times to resist offline brute force attacks. The experimental results and security analysis prove the effectiveness of our scheme.